Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#47
Expected Predictive Rating+10.6#44
Pace67.9#159
Improvement+1.5#109

Offense
Total Offense+7.7#25
Improvement-0.9#209

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#107
Improvement+2.4#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 75.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 75.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four21.6% n/a n/a
First Round65.0% n/a n/a
Second Round25.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 170   Texas Southern W 81-63 89%     1 - 0 +14.5 +1.3 +12.3
  Nov 13, 2012 206   Oakland W 88-80 92%     2 - 0 +2.6 +6.9 -4.5
  Nov 18, 2012 233   Louisiana W 63-57 94%     3 - 0 -1.3 -13.1 +11.9
  Nov 20, 2012 10   @ Michigan St. L 70-74 20%     3 - 1 +14.8 +8.2 +6.5
  Nov 24, 2012 205   UC Santa Barbara W 72-56 92%     4 - 1 +10.7 -0.2 +11.2
  Nov 28, 2012 15   @ Creighton W 83-70 23%     5 - 1 +30.8 +20.8 +10.9
  Dec 02, 2012 229   @ Seattle W 87-64 84%     6 - 1 +22.3 +13.5 +7.6
  Dec 05, 2012 114   @ Utah L 55-76 62%     6 - 2 -14.2 -4.3 -13.5
  Dec 14, 2012 92   LSU W 89-70 78%     7 - 2 +20.9 +10.6 +8.8
  Dec 20, 2012 200   Idaho W 78-68 86%     8 - 2 +8.3 +2.2 +6.7
  Dec 23, 2012 345   New Orleans W 67-51 99%     9 - 2 -2.8 -18.7 +14.7
  Jan 02, 2013 141   @ Texas Arlington W 64-46 69%     10 - 2 +22.8 +5.3 +19.9
  Jan 09, 2013 89   @ Wyoming W 63-61 56%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +10.6 +9.9 +1.2
  Jan 16, 2013 16   New Mexico L 74-79 OT 48%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +5.6 +0.3 +5.8
  Jan 19, 2013 85   @ Air Force L 80-91 55%     11 - 4 1 - 2 -2.1 +3.9 -5.6
  Jan 23, 2013 99   Fresno St. W 74-67 79%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +8.5 +12.7 -3.5
  Jan 26, 2013 149   @ Nevada L 59-75 72%     12 - 5 2 - 3 -11.9 -14.6 +3.0
  Jan 30, 2013 24   @ Colorado St. L 57-77 29%     12 - 6 2 - 4 -4.1 -8.8 +3.6
  Feb 02, 2013 31   UNLV W 77-72 55%     13 - 6 3 - 4 +13.7 +11.2 +2.5
  Feb 06, 2013 28   @ San Diego St. L 62-63 30%     13 - 7 3 - 5 +14.6 +9.4 +5.0
  Feb 09, 2013 89   Wyoming W 68-61 78%     14 - 7 4 - 5 +9.2 +3.6 +6.2
  Feb 16, 2013 16   @ New Mexico L 50-60 25%     14 - 8 4 - 6 +7.0 -12.1 +19.0
  Feb 20, 2013 85   Air Force W 77-65 77%     15 - 8 5 - 6 +14.4 +13.5 +3.0
  Feb 23, 2013 99   @ Fresno St. W 72-63 58%     16 - 8 6 - 6 +17.0 +16.2 +1.9
  Feb 27, 2013 149   Nevada W 73-47 88%     17 - 8 7 - 6 +23.6 +5.1 +21.2
  Mar 02, 2013 24   Colorado St. W 78-65 53%     18 - 8 8 - 6 +22.4 +17.1 +7.2
  Mar 05, 2013 31   @ UNLV L 64-68 31%     18 - 9 8 - 7 +11.2 +3.9 +7.2
  Mar 09, 2013 28   San Diego St. W 69-65 54%     19 - 9 9 - 7 +13.1 +3.9 +9.3
  Mar 13, 2013 28   San Diego St. L 67-73 41%     19 - 10 +6.3 -1.6 +8.3
Projected Record 19.0 - 10.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 75.4% 75.4% 10.9 0.0 1.2 5.4 14.7 31.7 22.3 0.1 24.6 75.4%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 75.4% 0.0% 75.4% 10.9 0.0 1.2 5.4 14.7 31.7 22.3 0.1 24.6 75.4%